Florian Mayer – Jerzy Janowicz betting preview

FlorianMayer-JerzyJanowiczbettingpreview|Betdistrict。

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16,2014at17:44GMT+3inEditor`spicks|0Comment|5,174ViewsShareTweetFlorianMayerandJerzyJanowiczwillmeetinoneofthebestmatchesinthe3rdroundoftheAustralianOpen。

Lookingattheodds,theymightseemalittlestrange,withMayerconsideredahuge1。

50favoriteandthepriceonhimdroppingdespiteJanowiczbeingarguablythebetterplayer。

Canthisbeavaluebet?

Thingsaresimple。

JJdidnotseemtobeeathisbestsofarthistournament,stilllookingalittlebotheredbythefootinjuryhesufferedlatelastseason。

Hewasalsoclearlybotheredbytheheatattimes,andbecauseofthesefactorstheoddsonMayeraredropping。

ThePoleneeded5setstogetpastwildcardThompson,butontheotherhandimprovedhisperformancesfora4setwinoverspaniardPabloAndujar,wherehelookedalittlemorehealthyandfit。

Hewasalsoextremelymotivated,rippinghisshirtoffindelightafterthewin。

MayerstartedtheseasonwithasolidsemifinalshowingatDoha(defeatingMurrayontheway),onlytoloseinthefirstroundatSydneytoMatosevic。

HereinMelbournehedefeatedKudlain3setsandYouzhnyina5setthriller。

Overall,goodformforMayer,buthedidshowsomeweaknessesagainstYouzhny。

Onecan`tsaythatMayerisplayinghisbesttennisrightnow。

Widemarketsandin-playbettingcoverage。

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FlorianMayerleadstheHead2Head2-0,butbothmeetingswerein2012,priortoJerzyJanowicz`semergenceasatopplayeronthetour。

Thisisavaluebethere。

Iftheoddswouldhavebeen1。

91-1。

91,I`dprobablyhavetakenMayer,asIreckonhehasabout55%chancestowinthis。

Butatthisprice,noway!

Janowiczhasmoreweaponsandifheimprovesagain(likehedidin2ndroundcomparedtothe1st),hewillbecomeafavoritetowin。

Hisfootinjuryisnotsoseriousanditclearlygotbetterinthe2ndround,so2moredaysofrestcouldmakeJJashealthyasever。

TheheatfactortroubledMayerasmuchasitdidJanowicz,withthegermanlookingclosetofaintingatsomepointsintheYouznygame。

ThemarathonagainsttherussiancouldhaveabadeffectoverMayertoday。

Allinall,Janowiczisamustbetattheseoddsandwithalittlebitofluckweshouldseehimadvanceinthe4thround。

Hecanloseorwinagainstanyoneatanytime,andthisunpredictabilitymakeshimagreatchoiceforbettinghere。

MypickisJanowicztowinthisin5sets。

OddsarestilldroppingonMayerbutIexpectthetrendtostopsoon。

Small-mediumstakes。

Pick:JerzyJanowicztowinOdds:2。

50@10BetStake:5Possibleprofit:7。

50Eventdate:17JanuaryEditorFactsRostickis2for3intipsontheAustralianOpenRostickis2for3intipsontennisinJanuaryLatesteditors`bettingtipsJapanIrelandRostickSep。

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